Predictions for 2003
Ik lees graag de wekenlijkse informatie van Gerry McGovern, en onderschrijf ook nu weer zijn voorspellingen voor 2003.
1) The global economy will remain sluggish. The IT sector will struggle to regain momentum. Web services and wireless communications will massively over-promise and under-deliver. This incessant hype that the IT industry is prone to, will damage the genuine potential of these technologies.
2) Organizations will standardize and streamline more and more of their web operations. Multiple websites, with multiple design approaches and publishing processes, will be frowned on as budgets are tightened.
3) Organizations will finally begin to develop return on investment models for their Internet operations. Many will find that their websites are simply not profitable.
4) Information architecture will grow in importance. More organizations will recognize that organizing information efficiently is one of the key challenges they face.
5) The intranet will expand its role as a critical tool by which an organization increases productivity, improves communication and reduces costs.
6) The role of women on the Internet will increase. An example will be in intranet management. Here, the shift of responsibility from IT to corporate communications will gain momentum. (Women dominate corporate communications.)
7) We will see the emergence of the 'de-merger,' where large, unwieldy mergers from the boom era, are taken apart so as to make them more efficient and profitable.
8) Spam will continue its inexorable rise. The principle of charging for data sent will begin to gain currency, as the global economy realizes how much spam, and other wasteful communication, is costing.
9) The myth that the Internet is borderless, and thus lawless, will finally die and be buried in 2003. Spam, viruses, terrorism, identity theft, and copyright infringement will be the key drivers for a raft of legislation.
10) Recession or no recession, boom or bust, the Internet revolution will continue apace. More and more of our business, commerce, communication, work and leisure will happen online. In many ways, the Internet revolution has only just begun.

Gerry McGovern


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NEW THINKING NEW THINKING NEW THINKING NEW THINKING NEW THINKING
By Gerry McGovern http://www.gerrymcgovern.com
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